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GIL

Risk & commercial faculty

The Ferryfield Group

Quantitative risk analysis, commercial modelling and strategic decision support for international and national oil companies and energy investors.

United Kingdom

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The Ferryfield Group, based in the United Kingdom, is the strategic risk team on the GIL faculty.

Its founding partners, Craig Ferri and Doug Oldfield, worked together at Palisade Corporation, makers of the well-known @RISK software. During Craig’s 16 years at Palisade, as Managing Director of its European operations, he oversaw the expansion of the business into the Middle East, Africa, India and the Asia-Pacific region. As a member of Palisade’s global leadership team, he was responsible for the organisation’s strategic expansion plans.

Doug joined Palisade in 2008 to develop a new sales territory, the Middle East, and grew it into one of Palisade’s most successful regions. On the strength of that success he went on to grow the business in Africa, India and the United Kingdom. He has delivered more than 1,700 presentations around the world.

With more than 30 years’ combined experience in risk, they set up The Ferryfield Group in 2020. Ferryfield’s mission, then and now, is to provide specialised services in quantitative risk analysis (QRA).

GIL’s partnership with Ferryfield brings to the faculty a team with an unmatched record across a wide range of projects and industries.

Organisations using Palisade softwareA partial list of organisations that use Palisade’s risk-analysis software, from the years Ferryfield’s founders led Palisade’s business in Europe, the Middle East, Africa and India. They are shown as Palisade software users; their logos do not imply an endorsement of GIL.
Logos of organisations including NAPIMS, NNPC, Nigeria LNG, Seplat, Oando, Shell, ExxonMobil, Schlumberger, Petrobras, Statoil, Ford, Toyota, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, NASA, the World Health Organization, the UK Ministry of Defence, the US Department of Energy, Harvard, the University of Cambridge and the University of Ibadan

Faculty and team

Craig Ferri

Craig Ferri

Co-Founder & Director

The Ferryfield Group

Craig is a leader and managing director with 20 years of experience helping businesses reach their full potential by identifying and using the resources and opportunities available to them. Earlier in his career he grew Palisade EMEA from a small, little-known business into a well-known player, with its software used by 97% of the FTSE 100 and 76% of the Fortune 500, and taught to more than 30,000 MBA students worldwide.

Doug Oldfield

Doug Oldfield

Co-Founder & Director

The Ferryfield Group

Doug specialises in quantitative risk analysis and risk management. He joined Palisade, makers of @RISK, in 2008 to develop the Middle East as a new sales territory, grew it into one of Palisade’s most successful regions, and went on to grow the business in Africa, India and the United Kingdom. He has delivered more than 1,700 presentations worldwide on Monte Carlo simulation, integrated cost and schedule risk, and portfolio risk for energy megaprojects, and co-founded The Ferryfield Group in 2020.

Gustavo Vinueza

Gustavo Vinueza

Senior Consultant

The Ferryfield Group

Gustavo brings over two decades of leadership in data analytics, machine learning and quantitative risk management across finance, oil and gas, insurance and construction. He manages global implementations of Safran Risk and ModelRisk, and previously served as Data Director at Betterfly and Director of Consulting and Analytics Solutions at Palisade. He holds a systems engineering degree, an MBA and a master’s in financial direction, and speaks regularly at PMI, AACE and INFORMS conferences.

Rafael Hartke

Rafael Hartke

Risk Modelling Specialist

The Ferryfield Group

Rafael specialises in risk modelling, project valuation and analytics, with a background in oil and gas at Petrobras. A former senior trainer and consultant at Palisade, he has delivered consulting and training in more than 25 countries in English, Portuguese and Spanish, covering valuation, cash flow, Monte Carlo simulation, stochastic optimisation, forecasting and decision trees.